Challenger Sao Paulo predictions
Posted by Handyman on January 5, 2010
Sao Paulo, 2nd Round
Thiago Alves (BRA, 149) 2:1 (6:1,6:7,6:1) Jorge Aguilar (CHI, 222)
After succesful predictions from 1st round of this Tournament, I decided to make one more bet from 2 nd round.
Domestic player Thiago Alves defeated his compatriot Leonardo Kirche 6:4,7:6 in 1 st round.
Thiago usually plays very well on Challengers, especially in Brasil. Last year he made a 19-11 record on hardcourt
challengers. His best result was the final in Campos do Jordao (Brasil) where he lost in 3 sets to Horacio Zeballos.
Exactly the same player defeated him here, in Sao Paulo, last year in quarter final in two tensely tie breaks.
Back in 2008, Thiago has won this Tournament. Thiago likes to play in Brasil’s and South America’s challengers,
therefore not surprising that he doesn’t have almost no results at major events. But, for tournaments like this he is a
very good player to bet on, speaking from my experience.
On the other hand will stand Jorge Aguilar from Chile. Pretty unknown player if you ask me.
In 1 st round he made a surprise and threw out Mexican Santiago Gonzalez winning 6:4,7:6.
His main court is clay, very rarely plays at hardcourt and he doesn’t have any results from hardcourt not worth
to mention. Last year he played 5 matches, won 3 and lost 2 but his opponents were even less known than him.
Aguilar played just 29% matches in last 4 your at hardcourt along 6-6 record. He is better at claycourt where he
managed a 14-5 record last year.
From my point of view Thiago Alves is a better player and should not lose this match under no circumstances.
In front of his home crowd he will be searching for placement in quarter final. The way to there should not be
jeopardize by Jorge Aguilar.
Betting prediction: Thiago Alves to win WIN
@ 1.45 Bet-at-home
Stake: 10
